Giordano Applies His Considerable Powers of Intellect

Here and here. BigLeftOutside is a site I hit often--or, in his words, it's "frequently consulted."

Al, as noted below (scroll if you want) predicted a Kerry resurgence. While his reasoning is more described than explained, he pretty much was the ONLY person who beat the polls in his forecast. If you ask me, anyone can write a lead based on Zogby's data. It's a LOT harder to explain a deep down feeling, based on wisdom and experience.

Note: the first link above is to "The Blogging of The President"--look for Giordano's remarks in the comments section.